drinking out loud

Would You Mind Explaining to Me ...

A few things I confess I still don't understand
Matt Kramer
Posted: January 18, 2011

Wine pundits are supposed to be sages. We fancy that everyone looks to us to have all answers to all questions. I hate to be the one to disappoint you, but we pundits are often as puzzled by events as you might be.

Let me give you some examples of matters that, frankly, I don't feel that I fully grasp. I don't mind saying that I'm hoping that one of you can help me better understand these puzzlers. For example:

What the hell happened to Australian wine? Why has it gone into such a nosedive in American esteem?

Am I the only one who was boggled by Constellation's recent sale of its Australian holdings for a shocking fraction of what it originally paid just eight years ago?

In 2003, Constellation paid $1.1 billion for the giant Australian winery BRL Hardy. Last month it announced that it was selling BRL Hardy for $290 million.

Let me get this straight: In just eight years, one of the supposedly savviest wine business companies on the planet somehow managed to lose $810 million in asset value. "This is a tremendous addition to Constellation's portfolio," said company CEO Richard Sands in 2003 in announcing the purchase. Now, this same deal has become a tremendous subtraction to the Constellation portfolio.

How could this have happened? Did I not "get the memo"? It was only a few years ago that Australian wine was every wine buyer's darling. Wholesalers and retailers reported that they couldn't ship the stuff fast enough, so strong was the demand.

Australia's so-called "critter wines" were hopping from shelf to shelf, seemingly from one success to the next. Everyone raved about the quality-to-price ratio. Everyone marveled at the marketing genius of the Australians. Everyone was talking about how Australia would rule the world's wine shelves.

According to a recent Wine Spectator report, "Constellation built a huge debt, which has been exacerbated by the bad economy." The report further noted that the company was harassed by "a strong Australian dollar, high grape costs, duty increases and retailer consolidation."

Maybe I'm missing something, but this still doesn't explain why Australian wine has tanked so badly. I mean, what's really changed? Has the American palate transformed so radically in the past five years that the Aussie wines that were once so loved for their smooth textures, juicy fruitiness, lighthearted packaging and you-can't-beat-it pricing are no longer viable in the American market?

To listen to wine merchants, Australian wines are a drag on the market. The cheap ones continue to sell (although apparently not as effortlessly or with their former skyrocketing sales trajectory). Expensive Australian wines reportedly don't sell at all.

Now, I have my own theory as to why Australian wines stumbled so badly in the market. That theory, in a nutshell, is that the Aussies failed to celebrate and service their high-end artisanal producers as aggressively and as enthusiastically—even lovingly—as they did the low end. Australian wine lost cachet—or rather, never acquired it.

Yet even that doesn't explain how a big corporation managed to lose $810 million in eight years. Australian wines are as good today as they were a decade ago. The values are as good today as they were then.

So I ask you: What really happened that took the glow off the Australian wine comet? Because frankly, I still don’t get it.

Why can't Bordeaux save itself?

This is the inverse of the Australian story. Here you have the high end, the most famous and expensive wines, selling at ever-higher prices, indeed, the highest in Bordeaux's centuries-old history.

Yet once you get past the privileged few—a mere hundred or so great properties—Bordeaux is reeling. Bordeaux's thousands of nonprivileged vineyard owners are staggering from debt, unsure where to sell their unwanted wines or even quite how to market their majestic history. In the mid-2000s, prices of everyday Bordeaux wines plunged by half in just three years—and they haven't recovered.

Don't look to China to save Bordeaux. The Chinese only want the most famous wines. Or at least those with a strong brand. They're not interested in Bordeaux's everyday wines. The Chinese are not the salvation.

The American market offers no salvation either. Recently, I had a conversation with a young woman who had to bone up on Bordeaux for some kind of wine exam. I told her that once past this written test, she really didn't have to worry about Bordeaux for the rest of her life, even though she is only in her twenties.

Puzzled, she asked why. I said, "Think of all your friends who love wine. How many of them ever mention Bordeaux?" She thought for a moment, then declared, "You're right! No one ever mentions Bordeaux. No one I know drinks it or even thinks about it."

Bordeaux is neither a reference point nor a personal wine reality for young American wine drinkers. The famous red Bordeaux are beyond their reach. They're not real. Inexpensive red Bordeaux are viewed as uninteresting or worse, lacking either the newness or the narrative of so many wines from Spain, Italy, California, Oregon, Portugal, New Zealand, Argentina or Chile.

How did this happen? How did France, long the world's greatest wine marketer, manage to lose its grip on a world that, really, had no desire to let go of the romance and reassurance of something as famous as red Bordeaux?

Certainly we can identify some very basic causes, not the least of which has been the failure to reliably improve quality. It's hardly a secret that nobody believes French marketing blather more than the French themselves. Put bluntly, they hadn't a clue about how the world was changing around them. Everyone else's wines were getting better, being packaged and sold better, and talked about better.

By way of explanation, the usual suspects are trotted out: that Bordeaux is unwieldy, with more than 20,000 producers; that these small growers don't know how to market; that the world has changed and there's more competition. All of these statements are true. Yet none explains—in my opinion, anyway—how and why Bordeaux could have plummeted to such a precarious position.

Why hasn’t Syrah captured the American imagination?

I'm still puzzling over this one. California and Washington are today creating some truly remarkable Syrahs at every price point. For example, I recently guzzled down a 2009 Cycles Gladiator Syrah from California that was simply terrific for the money—and that was peanuts, just eight bucks a bottle. The list of truly great American Syrahs grows longer every vintage.

Yet apparently no one is panting after American Syrahs (those from the Rhône have a stronger following). I don't get it. There's no more reliable value—and no greater quality for the money today—than California and Washington Syrah. There are bottles available at every price level. The quality is in the glass. The supply is more than ample.

So what happened? Clearly, Syrah was swept aside by the rise of—and consumer fascination with—Pinot Noir. Bad timing. Still, does that really explain the second-class status of Syrah today? Can we really not hold two great red wines in our hearts at the same time (along, of course, with Cabernet)? Surely there's a better, more persuasive reason than "Syrah got clobbered by Pinot Noir."

I submit to you these wine perplexities. As I previously confessed, I'm not at all certain that I have an insightful grip on the answers. Maybe you do? I sure would like to know.

Member comments   49 comment(s)

Jim Mason — St. John's —  January 18, 2011 1:42pm ET

In my experience Bordeaux doesn't get really good until you are willing to slap down about $250. For that price you can buy two or three bottles of equally as good California, Spanish or Italian Cab/Merlot blends. Especially Italian. And Bordeax in the $50-100 price range is pretty generic. There is little personality within the 2000 producers you alluded to.

And I might even toss Burgundy in there as well. Separating the wheat from the chaff in Burgundy requires either a Master of Wines designation or a great deal of time and money, both of which are in short supply these days with the majority of the wine drinking public.


Peter Vangsness — Springfield, MA —  January 18, 2011 1:45pm ET

Matt,

Australians are as good as they have ever been, but sustaining their once-hot market was never a practical reality. Lower price wines from Chile, Argentina, and South Africa helped cut into their market.
I agree that their higher priced wines don't compete favorably with Europe's or America's.
Young Bordeaux wines just aren't as "ready" to consume as young wines from other parts of the world. Even lower ranking estates produce wines that gain complexity with a few years of bottle age. I regulary buy ten year old "unknown" Bordeaux and love it.
Syrah is clearly establishing itself, especially in Paso Robles. It's only a matter of time.


Phil Roberts — Palatine, IL —  January 18, 2011 1:59pm ET


I can only speak for myself and a couple of others who I drink wine with a lot. I'm the only one who collects. On Australian wine it seems something like palate fatigue. It's great for a short period of time then just too over the top. I'm sure there are Australian wines that aren't that over the top fruit-bomb style, but you can't just buy a wine from Australia and find that, you have to search. We're searching elsewhere. I'm sure we're not alone. I don't see why this is particularly mysterious.


David W Voss — elkhorn, Wi —  January 18, 2011 2:26pm ET

Your take on Syrah is totally in sync with mine. I love these wines and buy them whenever I find a good value. Bordeau has lost me completely since I'm over 65 and don't want any more wines that aren't drinkable within 2-4 years. I still love Aussie wines and am glad to have the selection more to myself.


Don Noone — NYC, USA —  January 18, 2011 2:42pm ET

The Aussie dollar had alot to do with hastening the pace, but they were never going to maintain their QPR dominance for too long...someone always comes along and does it just as well for less. That said, they made a HUGE mistake in not giving consumers something to graduate up to. Untold numbers of the best Aussie wines never get exported, so when our palates mature and/or we make more money, the Aussies are saying "Sorry mate, same ole' Koonunga Hill for you." Case in point, Penfolds has the know-how, evidenced by wines like St. Henri, 707, RWT, to move people up the quality ladder. Why did they never even attempt it? There should have been be a label that sells for $30 that is every bit as recognizable as Rawson's or KH. They ceded that territory.


David A Zajac — Akron, OH —  January 18, 2011 2:46pm ET

My problem with california syrah is that everyone seems to be making them and the grape itself produces everything from monster wines that are essentially undrinkable with food (thus the Aussie problem you refer to as well) to light weight finesse based wines without a lot of backbone...and everything in between. I maintain that there are so many styles, nobody really understands what they are getting in the bottle and people tend to avoid them because of it. However, if you get it right (SQN, Alban, Saxum etc.) they will sell, and sell for very high prices.


David Lerer — Indialantic, FLorida, USA —  January 18, 2011 3:19pm ET

Matt, long time follower of yours, first time commenting. Who really cares if Constellation lost or made money? That's their personal problem. Australia's problem lies mainly with a bottleneck: way too much wine production, and not as much demand, which leads to more problems after that.

As for Bordeaux, the French always seem to be way to full of themselves, especially when forced to look at new solutions for the same old problem: their marketing and classified growth structure which is old and outdated. If anyone who needs to wake up and realize that the old cliché', "If it aint broke, don't fix it" is just that. Values still abound for Cru Bourgeios, Petit Chateau, and some classified growths that simply cannot be matched against California: Ch d'Aiguilhe, Cantenac Brown, Phelan Segur, Ch Pibran, Ch Pipeau, Ch Gloria, Clerc Milon, etc. But in order to have access to these wines, one must seek them out in the marketplace as compared to the more readily available California cabs. What's more, the average American wine consumer of today is more interested in values they don't have to chase down, wines that are more approachable in their youth, and labels they can understand. Likewise, Bordeaux always struggles with their own over supply issues, and the increased prices of this new super vintage serves to keep them wealthy after four years without a heralded vintage. Personally, I'm a big fan of Washington for Bordeaux varietal values. They are the toughest to match, dollar for point value.

Lastly, get off your high horse of expectations on Syrah in California. Most of us still have the purple stains of Aussie Shiraz at $5-$25 a bottle, with lots of it on our shelves. Again, I love Pacific Syrah and have quite a nice collection of it next to my CDPs and other Rhones, and Aussie Shiraz, but California and you are going to have to be patient. It isn't as easy as it was for Pinot Noir. Most people are completely dumbfounded by Burgundy and the other players are all rather small in comparison: Chile, New Zealand, Germany, Italy, so it's not fair to make such a comparison. Plus, California has always liked to make full bodied Pinots which made it easy to fall in love with as compared to quality Syrahs made to show off terroir and tannins.

Thanks, as always for your valuable insight and ideas. They often make good sense, but they always allow for a good discussion. Cheers.


Joe Dekeyser — Waukesha, WI —  January 18, 2011 3:45pm ET

Rhone varietals (including California and Washington, not to mention better Australian takes) are my first choice - almost to a fault - among reds and for that matter whites (rousanne, marsanne, grenache blanc). I have never gotten the big love affair with pinot noir - I like it well enough I'm just not in love, be it Oregon, California or Burgundy. Wineries like Zaca Mesa, Jaffurs, K-Wines and Alban offer spectacularly good examples at each of their price points. If I could buy SQN or Saxum I would - darned mailing lists. To me syrah is always more interesting than cabernet sauvignon when done well and grenache delivers what pinot noir promises. We recently did have two of the type of Bordeaux you puzzle over (2005's) both were ready to drink, one was unrewarding but the other was very nice and well worth the $16 I coughed up for it. As for Australia I have some Mollydooker, Amon Ra and Two Hands that I am having a hard time keeping my hands off when I visit the cellar such as it is.


Richard Gangel — San Francisco —  January 18, 2011 3:50pm ET

Both California and Washington Syrah seems to be off the radar with anyone but those who live on the "left" side of the country. You have no idea how frustrated I have been whenever I visit New York and find a dearth of California and Washington syrahs in both restaurants and wine stores. As for David Zajac's comment about "get(ing) it right," there are plenty of California and Washington wineries that do so but have not received the publicity of the Big 3 that Mr. Zajac mentioned. Except for SQN, I still find it hard to even find Saxum or Alban in New York. Recently I found a Betz syrah on the menu of a New York restaurant and expressed my frustration to the sommelier at the dearth of West Coast syrahs on the menu and he looked at me as if I were strange without offering any response to my question. It reminds me of my youth in New York and the attitude about California wines before the Judgment of Paris. I don't know what it takes to open people's eyes, nose and tongue to the possibilities that are out there.


Joshua Brazeal — Jenks, OK —  January 18, 2011 4:05pm ET

I'm not upset by the lack of interest in California or Washington Syrah. I think it's great when I can walk into my local liquor store and pick up a case of K Syrah, Zaca Mesa or Tablas Creek. Eventually the American public will learn why we Syrah drinkers have been buying up this product in bunches.


Michael Nappi — Staten Island, New York —  January 18, 2011 4:09pm ET

Matt,
I sat down with the intention of answering your queries point by point, but gave up once I realized how complex and lengthy the answers would have to be. The wine world has changed so much in the last ten years, with wonderful wines literally pouring out of every corner of the globe at every price point; I don't think we've ever seen anything like this before. It is a very exciting time to be interested in wine.
Thanks for giving me pause to ponder.
Great article.
Mike


Joseph Kane — Austin —  January 18, 2011 4:09pm ET

Two of your comments are intertwined: Aussie wine market crash, and failure to grasp the syrah in America. I can't explain it, and am madly in love with Washington syrah, but see most of my friends classify US or Aussie syrah as "the other red grape." Most of those people are fairly serious wine drinkers. They see Napa and Aussie syrah as complete fruit bombs, lacking the structure or complexity of Cabs and the finesse and acid of Pinot Noir. Those same drinkers are fans of northern rhone reds. The combination of acid, structure, and secondary flavors and aromas are enticing to them. I think that the emergence of Washington Syrah will open their eyes. Admittedly, I am not a huge fan of what I consider over jammy, high alcohol syrah often found in Napa, and consistently found in new Australian shiraz. Washington Syrah, however, is a completely different beast. I think it falls somewhere in the middle between Napa/Australia and Rhone. It is lower alcohol, has slightly more acid than Napa/Aussie, has wonderful fruit structure, but has incredible secondary notes that push it well past "fruit bomb." In time, I think Washington Syrah will catch in a big way. FOr the aging-minded collector, Washington wines have the stuffing to hold up for decades. Washington syrah has, to me, a perfect blend of profiles. I believe that the American palate will notice that fact soon.

Australia: I think that Australian wines were heavily marketed as inexpensive, accessible red wines focused on slamming a juicy fruit focused palate into American consumers' faces. That heavy marketing push created the "Aussie Identity." Simply put, the wines have a reputation as juicy, cheap, accessible fruit bombs. American consumers, especially young consumers entering into the wine world, found the wines fun, exciting, and easy drinking. But, what once cause in increase in sales is now crippling the market for Australian wines. I think that the average consumer looks at a label featuring a wrestler's mask, or the word "B1tch", and thinks "cheap wine." Or, thinks, fun, but not serious wine. That reputation has, in my opinion, had a disasterous affect on the mid to high end australian wine market. I also think that the Austrailain embrace of high-alcohol jammy shiraz had a poor effect on consumers. I just tried a grenache at a winemaker tasting. I was told by the winemaker that the ABV was 18.3%. The wine was heady, literally intoxicating, and somewhat unpleasant. And it was $55 a bottle. I don't know how many 16.5% Shiraz I have had and seen, or how many $15 bottles are 16% abv. Most of those wines are pure jammy fruit. Serious consumers that focus on bordeaux, burgundy, oregon or california pinot noir, or even napa cabs are looking for and buying very different wines. Further, the reputation of Austrialian wines as cheap fruity wines has, in my opinion, lead consumers from purchasing high end australian wines that are undeserving of the "fruit bomb" monicker, such as Elderton Command and Clarendon Hills. Those wines are linked to a misleading identity. As a result, I have watched the price of similar, traditionally tannic, structured wines like d'Arenberg's Dead Arm drop nearly in half.

As far as Bordeaux goes, let me give you my take. I am a young lawyer in Dallas Texas. I have an allotted wine budget each month. I have to decide what wines to buy. Lets say I want a great bottle of red wine that I can happily drink now for $60. I can get a 94 pt cab or syrah (or a 96 pt shiraz!) and get change. Or, I can get an off vintage, tannic beast of a bordeaux. Centennial was struggling to move their 2006 bordeaux. I got a 2006 Montrose for about $60. I can get any number of Cali cabs for that from the 2005 or 2004 vintage. I can get a 2004-7 napa syrah. Which is best to drink tonight? Later this week? Later this month? Later this year? At a lower price point, the difference in available quality/enjoyability is even more drastic. Where I live, it is difficult to walk into a liquor store with $35 and get a good bordeaux. That being said, I can walk in and get world class California or Oregon pinot noir. I can get a 2006 Hall cab. I can get Neyers syrah, etc. Bordeaux is irrelevant at that price point because it is nearly impossible to find in-store.

Also, while some of the 2003 and 2000 bordeaux are drinking nicely, and are available in limited quantities, they are often very difficult to find. They are also significantly more expensive due to the overhead incurred storing them for 5-8 years. Then, given the overseas shipping and storage in Texas, you have to deal with bottle variation, heat exposure, and lack of humidity cork-spoliation issues. All in all, it is a risky purchase.

I like to think of Bordeaux's irrelevance from the Lewis/Las Cases standpoint. Lewis makes great cabs. They are near the pinnacle of the non-cult California producers. Every year they receive very high ratings. Their reserve is about $125 and usually around 93 - 96 points. Look at Leoville Las Cases. Similar reputation and quality. Not in the Le Pin, Lafite, Cheval Blanc, Margaux, etc. price point, but recognized as a top producer.

Right now, you can buy a 2007 Lewis Reserve (95 pts) for $110. 2007 is an incredible vintage, the wine age worthy, and Lewis a quality producer.

Right now, you can buy a 2007 Leoville Las Cases (91 pts) for $175. 2007 is not an incredible vintage. The wine is not great, and Leoville is an incredible producer.

Bordeaux just doesn't hold up. Even if you want to age your wine, you have to invest many more years in bordeaux than in california wines.

When it comes down to it, Bordeaux can be prohibitively expensive, even in poor vintages. The wines are less accessible, require aging, and are less consistent. You allegedly pay for terroir, but why not pay less for US terroir, chilean terroir (Don Melchor, Almaviva), etc.

The lack of excellent, reasonably accessible wine from Bordeaux at a reasonable mid-range price ($40-$80) forces most buyers to look elsewhere. For example, the 2005 vintage of "lesser" bordeaux wineries like Pavie-Decesse, Clos Fourtet, Larcis Ducasse, Pontet Canet, Figeac, Lynch Bages, Peby Faugeres, Haut Bailly, Canon, and Branaire Ducru, among others, all cost over $100 a bottle. Some of those are well over $200 a bottle. And most aren't small lot productions. Lafite, a different beast, sells, upwards of 20,000 cases! That, my friend, is robbery.


John Lahart — New York NY —  January 18, 2011 7:03pm ET

Are we certain that the conventional wisdom is, in fact, true? Has Aussie wine "tanked" ?
I seem to recall seeing some export/import numbers that did not support this.
Is it also possible that the Constellation move is based on a business situation that doesn't have much to do with lack of sales.
Two Hands., Torbreck, Penfolds et al seem to be doing ok.
We need to get Sgt Friday on the case.
The facts ma'am, just the facts.......


Stephen Stewart — new mexico  —  January 18, 2011 9:08pm ET

Thats what they get for introducing Yellow tail and all the other rubbish critter wines.I think that people have educated themselves in the last few years when it comes to wine.


Thomas J Martin — Kearny, NJ, USA —  January 18, 2011 9:56pm ET

Matt,
I find your comments incredibly thought-provoking and they bear on the future of the wine industry. I'm not able to tackle all 3 points at once, so I'll tackle the first point...

The issue of Aussie wine is a sign of the extent to which wine is a fashion-driven industry, a la "Sideways." The small group of wine cognoscenti are far outweighed by the wine-by-the-glass casual drinker. I don't think the rest of the world understands the fickleness of the American consumer and that consumer's ability to switch from Merlot to Pinot Noir to Aussie Shiraz to Malbec to ... Serious marketers understand that its is not the quality of wine, it is the statement that you are making to the world. Sidney Frank made a fortune because he understood this principle.

If you believe my theory, it calls into question most attempts at serious winemaking. Wine has a strong "flavor of the year" component which, as a rational business person, I think winemakers should embrace. Whatever happened to Orson Welles intoning grandly that we drink no wine before its time? Carla Bruni should be advertising French wine!


Louis Robichaux — Highland Village, Texas —  January 18, 2011 11:27pm ET

Australian Wine: Matt, did you forget that we’re still in the worst global economic climate since the Great Depression? As a long-time corporate restructuring professional, my suspicion is that Constellation’s $800 million “loss” on the BRL Hardy divestiture was driven by a combination of adverse exchange rates, untenable debt levels, liquidity concerns and long-term portfolio repositioning. While the Australian wine business is indeed lagging, I don’t sense that the magnitude of Constellation’s investment loss is comparable with the decline in Australian wine volume / pricing. Constellation probably overpaid in 2003, and sold in a severely depressed market in 2010. I agree with many comments above that Australian Shiraz suffers from a (possibly underserved) reputation of being low quality, “fun” wine. Has twist-off caps contributed to this? Humm … interesting question. As of late, Australian wine hasn’t received the same positive promotional attention in the American wine press as has West Coast, Italian and South American wines. Truth is that there are many West Coast reds with spot-on QPR to the average Australian Shiraz. Many of the posts above suggest that while there are some well-structured, balanced offerings, Australian winemakers may have taken the fruit-forward, high alcohol style too far.

Bordeaux: All along the price continuum, Bordeaux cannot compete with the quality of California, Washington, and South America offerings. Old World wines are not accessible when young, a major drawback for average wine consumers without a cellar. I wonder if younger generations of non-European wine consumers are developing a durable preference for New World style wines. If so, this would not bode well for the long-term future of Bordeaux (and probably high-end Burgundy). Classified Bordeaux, which have irrationally low QPRs, continue to do well because of the influential auction houses and cash-flush Asian buyers. That said, I wouldn’t want to stake my future on such a fragile demand equation. Given the entrenched social / economic norms (e.g. high operating cost structure) and traditions of France, I truly wonder if the country that brought the World an appreciation for fine wine is now on a long-term decline into mediocrity and diminished relevance (yes, Rajat Parr would surely slap me if he were nearby).

West Coast Syrah: Simply awesome wines. So long as creative winemakers continue improving their offerings and keep prices below Napa Cabernet levels, popularity should continue to rise. Wine Spectator’s constant, not-so-subtle promotion of California and Washington Rhone offerings should help as well. The undeserved extreme popularity of Pinot Noir among the average American wine consumer may very experience “mean reversion” over the next decade, with the void being filled with “the next big thing” … which currently looks like Syrah and GSM blends. In the meantime, me and other informed wine nerds will continue to enjoy high-quality Rhone-style West Coast wines which have good availability and a terrific QPR.


Lowry Sweney — Los Angeles, CA —  January 19, 2011 12:04am ET

Great column, and I'm sure you knew a lot of us would have our opinions! Here are my short responses to each point:
1. Aussie wine: Between the critter wines and the $50 and up wines that rate highly in Wine Sp (and especially with Parker), lie a broad range of fascinating $15-45 wine. For some reason American wine merchants focus on the big (overpowering) reds, which I find un-subtle and disappointing. I've enjoyed some Two Hands bottlings over the years, but other than that ALL of the best Aussie wine I've had is not reviewed by American reviewers. There is some great, medium-priced Aussie Cab, Shiraz and Pinot from Tasmania out there (if your retailer can help you find it). And any lover of Riesling who is not drinking a bottle of two of Aussie Riesling every month is crazy.

2. Bordeaux: I love Bordeaux. There are great bottles of wine from $25 on up despite what some people say. It's a wine that doesn't hit its stride for several years, so someone without a cellar or other large wine storage facility (98% of American wine drinkers) is going to taste a young wine that seems a bit less accessible than comparable Cali or Wash blends. I also think the top chateaux are crazy for letting prices go so high, but at that end (firsts and a few super seconds) it's just business, sadly. It's a shame that some ultra-rich and ignorant folk out there are already drinking through their 2005 Latour & Margaux -- what a waste. That wine is for their kids in 20 years time!

3. Cali Syrah - Same as (in my opinion) besets Cali Pinot -- too much of it is blah. Fresh, grapey, fruity, no real character. There is SOME great cold-climate Syrah (and some good Pinot too) made in Cali, but it's a minority of what gets sold and drunk, so people get bored. Most of my Syrah comes from France and (increasingly) Hawkes Bay New Zealand. Peppery and characteristic -- a good Syrah can make a meal... but too few of us ever get to drink it. I also agree with a few voices on these boards (and Matt, I think) that good Cali Syrah needs some bottle age to really shine (at least 6 years from vintage). So, same problem as Bordeaux: wine consistently drunk too young never has a chance to become a favorite.


William R Klapp Jr — Neive, Italy —  January 19, 2011 4:54am ET

Matt, the answers to such questions are necessarily complex, and can be traced down to the experiences of individual producers in many cases. However, we are in the middle of a minor revolution in style preferences. The so-called "fruit bomb" made popular by a few prominent critics is a dog that has had its day. Most (but not all) New World grapes are grown in climates that will produce extremely ripe grapes, and thus, absent manipulation, fruit-forward, high-alcohol wines most of the time. Such wines are rarely food-friendly, and often a chore to enjoy for more than the first few sips. The style will, no doubt, always have its fans, but others feel somewhat betrayed by the critics who favor the style, and many who bought on points alone have ended up particularly disappointed. I cannot say that the "fruit bomb" phenomenon is solely or even primarily responsible for the failure of American Syrah to catch on, but it has to be a factor, with Syrah being among the last to the dance in California.

Mr. Lahart, I know that you stand for the proposition that the fruit bomb does not exist and thus, that no critic could be said to have favored a style that does not exist. Now you have suggested that Matt does not know what he is talking about, and everything is peachy keen in Australia. Tell that to Chris Ringland and Dan Phillips, and go out into the secondary market in this country and try and find a buyer for your Aussie Shirazes. And please read what Matt wrote. He did not say that the worldwide market for Australian wines is dead. He said that the American market for those wines has nosedived. You will find that the numbers will support that proposition.

Jim Mason-making sense of Burgundy requires not an MW, not a lot of time and money, but rather, a book called, cleverly enough, Making Sense of Burgundy. I have forgotten who wrote it, but it will come back to me...


William R Klapp Jr — Neive, Italy —  January 19, 2011 5:07am ET

The facts, Sgt. Friday:

America’s Wine Imports by Country
The $2.3 billion in U.S. wine sales to foreign markets during the first 7 months of 2010 translates to a 7% gain over the comparable period in 2009.

American imports of wine gained at a slower rate than the growth in U.S. export sales. In addition, the United States appears to buy imported wines from a smaller cohort of international suppliers than the number of countries to which the bulk of American wine is exported.

Over 99% of U.S. imported wine comes from the following 15 countries.

Italy … US$709.6 million, up 11% (30.5% of total export sales)
France … $511.6 million, down 0.1% (22% of total)
Australia … $363.7 million, down 4.1% (15.6% of total)
Argentina … $154.6 million, up 23.3% (6.6% of total)
Chile … $147.5 million, down 0.3% (6.3% of total)
Spain … $144.2 million, up 14.2% (6.2% of total)
New Zealand … $106.7 million, up 13.7% (4.6% of total)
Germany … $76.6 million, up 16.5% (3.3% of total)
Portugal … $40.7 million, up 37.5% (1.8% of total)
South Africa … $25.4 million, up 21.1% (1.1% of total)
Israel … $7.9 million, up 41% (0.3% of total)
Netherlands … $6.7 million, up 749.4% (0.29% of total)
Austria … $5.8 million, up 15.7% (0.25% of total)
Greece … $5.5 million, up 9.5% (0.23% of total)
Canada … $3.9 million, up 75.5% (0.17% of total).


Which country is down 4.1%, despite having a huge chunk of the cheap wine market with products like Yellow Tail?


Karl Mark — Geneva, IL. —  January 19, 2011 8:23am ET

I believe that Thomas Martin is spot on with his comments. If Malbec is the darling of today, then perhaps more important is trying to understand what will be the "fad" of tomorrow. Will it be Tempranillo from Spain, Dolcetto or Nero d'Avola from Italy, Tannat from Uruguay or Virginia, or something else all together. I believe that Israel has an enormous amount of potential, and they really only need a signature grape. The popularity of Malbec will only be temporary, and history has told us that irregardless of the quality of the wines produced.


Joey Hatley — Dallas, TX —  January 19, 2011 9:23am ET

Australian Wine - Homogenized milk! You've had one, you've practically had them all. Too many me-to bottles, especially at the lower end. The high-end wines are getting creamed at auctions now. I like the wines, but there just is not enough difference between one producer from the next at both the high end and the low end and quite frankly, there are a lot of crap low end wines that are turning off consumers to the rest of the world.

Bordeaux - short answer...they're French, what the heck did you expect? Too arrogant and greedy to acknowledge the world around them. Serious wine drinkers and collectors are familiar with the big names, but the others are exhausting to keep track of...is this mostly cab or merlot or what the heck is in here, I am not sure? Will it taste like a tobacco stand or have some fruit in it? Gee I am not sure, let's go with this inexpensive California Cab that I've heard of and have tasted something similar before!

Cal & Wash Syrah - Man I'm with you on this one Matt! My friends and I are all over this varietal right now and can't get enough! I've been getting on every Syrah list I can, Cayuse, K/Charles Smith, Tyrus Evan, Dehlinger, Ramey, on and on! I think it really just comes down to the fact that at the end of the day, the majority of the American wine buying public is still very ignorant about the subject of wine. Plus you still have a very large segment of high rollers that can't seem to look past their Napa Cult Cabs. Perhaps we will need a hit movie that bad mouths Cabs and exhaults the qualities of Syrah. They can called it, "Foreward & Backwards".

On a positive note, based on your recommendations, I got on the Dehlinger mailing list and I am getting my first allocation of wines. What did you think of their 2008 vintage? Direct email is webmaster@dallassecretwine.com

Cheers!


Vic Motto — Napa Valley —  January 19, 2011 10:06am ET

Matt, the Oz answer is clear and backed by the numbers. Australia's rapid growth over the past 15 years came at the expense of one thing: FALLING PRICES, sinking Australian wines to lower price segments where price is the only meaningful differentiator, thereby making their business uneconomic. Here's the key number: as volume grew rapidly, revenue per case declined on average over 4% annually; year after year after year, which was ultimately unsustainable. The misguided focus of a few major producers on market share and volume growth at a single price point is the culprit.


Michael Goldman — Nanuet, New York —  January 19, 2011 10:57am ET

Some parts of the American palate have grown up....
The Yellow Tail effect is somewhat similar to the Riunite effect of a few years back. Riunite tanked (DEG and other probs) and the Italian wine consumption figures went with them... But, quality always wins... and so did Italy ... numbers and quality have risen steadily (despite the Brunello fiasco recently)... The Australian quality across their varietals and appelations will show true.
Bordeaux,in many cases, have priced themselves out of reach... even compared to some over-priced American wines.
Constellation has said to themselves... "let's ride with the NAMES" (Blackstone, Robert Mondavi, etc) "and the spirits" (Svedka) "and cut our losses." Typical corporate-speak...


Martin Slavin — San Rafael, CA —  January 19, 2011 11:59am ET

I found your article to be very interesting. I have several points.
1. The best everyday Australian wines never leave Australia. My wife and I were blown away by these wines when we visited several years ago. Most of the wines that we drank were not exported to the states, and most were extremely well priced. I have become a fan of Mollydocker and D'Arenberg, which are available in all price points in California.
2. Bordeaux can be confusing to buy. Every year I attend a tasting where over 100 everyday Bordeaux wines are poured. We are amazed at the quality that is available, and how unavailable these wines are.
3. Syrah is available and becoming more common in California. We just were at an event in the Russian River Valley and noticed that every winery was featuring a Syrah, a lot of them of really high quality. Check out Red Car from the Sonoma Coast, or Dutton Estate.


John Lahart — New York NY —  January 19, 2011 12:50pm ET

That 4.1% decline was, I believe, limited to "bulk wine." I still have seen no statistical evidence to support all these assumptions. Where are the numbers by categories/segment that could support all this speculation?

This is not a style issue. Australia produces a very wide range of styles. It is not a critic issue either. Parker (and others) have rated highly and touted Clare Valley rieslings and unoaked Aussie Chards. It is easy to lump wines into stylistic stereotypes and then form some conventional wisdom.

I would even challenge those who assert there is some sort of "problem" with syrah. The wine market place is much more complex than many are willing to admit. Pinot Noir was well on its way to popularity before any movie. If one counts all the wines not distinctly labeled as"syrah" in the US marketplace the numbers are impacted.

There's far more to these issues than meets the eye.


Valerie Rodriguez — new york —  January 19, 2011 3:06pm ET

I fell in love with the 2001 clarendon hills romas, and began to collect various australian wines since. However my experience was not positive, as the cork issue that they had really frustrated me. I instantly redirected my wine allowance to other regions and thats a shame. Why? because there was absolutely zero i could do about quite a bit of wine that was ruined. A sure turn off to any consumer of any product. I did buy a fair amount of the 2005 two hands bellas garden and have been enjoying it since trying a bottle given to me by a friend. I never would have bought the initial bottle myself.

I will simply say what hurts bordeaux and i apologize if anyone else mentioned this, but name recognition and to go further the lack of understanding of French. Who wants to order something they can't say?

Lastly, the Syrah issue is a great one. We enjoyed a 2004 Ojai at Christmas and thought dollar for dollar this was one of the most enjoayble wines i have had for some time. People are truly missing out!


Michael Zari — Fair Oaks, CA —  January 19, 2011 4:30pm ET

It really is the Wine Spectators fault! You create barriers by your scores and peoples choices are diminished by the lake of faith in their own pallets. Everyone needs to decide for themselves what a wine should really taste like not you! I am a fan of WS but the scoring should go back to the old days, either recommend or not, drink now, drink later. WS created the Pinot hype, dissed Bordeaux, and dissed Australia, so who is really to blame Matt? You and your colleagues are! If you do not believe me then score them all 100 points and see what happens...


Tom Miller — Vestavia Hills, AL —  January 19, 2011 4:45pm ET

Matt,

Even though he is "a young lawyer in Dallas, Texas" I agree 100% with Mr. Kane's assessment above on all three of your "puzzlers", especially the one concerning Bordeaux. It all comes down to the perceived price/quality ratio and Bordeaux prices have skyrocketed since the 2000 vintage was offered on futures 10 years ago.

Semi-old farts like me look at today's Bordeaux futures prices and remember when Calvert-Woodley sold 1982 Leoville Las Cases for $156 per case in their 1983 futures offering. Or when you could buy 1982 Gruaud Larose and Talbot for ~$100/case. That's why every once in a while I'll sell some of those old bottles at much less than current retail and buy Oregon (and California) Pinot noir.

Another potential answer to your Bordeaux puzzler is a line that my late curmudgeon friend David Lett told me many moons ago when we were discussing the intricacies of Pinot vs. Cabernet (especially Bordeaux). He said, "Tom, why do you think they call it Bore-deaux?" I now have those words of wisdom emblazoned on the back of Just Pinot t-shirts. Send me your t-shirt size and I'll get one to you (on the house).


Golden Gate Wine Co Ltd — Hong Kong —  January 19, 2011 8:35pm ET

Matt Kramer is one of my favorite authors, and he knows much more about wine than I do. We started GGW in 2004 and specialize in only American wine, having the largest portfolio in the region. So acknowledging Matt's superior and much appreciated role in the industry, I offer 3 comments. Re Oz, I used to drink a lot of their wines, but after founding GGW and drinking mainly CA, OR and WA wines, plus French and Italian, for 6+ years, the Ozzie wines now taste - reds, bitter, whites, insipid with little flavor. I fully admit this is my palate changing, as I still have enormous respect for the Aus winemaking skill and marketing excellence. But maybe there are others in the market who feel the same way. Re Bordeaux, I think it's just competition. In HK, wine = Bordeaux, which makes our competition tough. Nonetheless, it's a commodity with ever rising production and numbers of export countries, improving quality and moderating pricing. They're stuck in a tough position with no place to go but sideways or down. Re Syrah, contrary to my comments on Aus, American Syrahs are rarely as pungent, herbal, appealing as the Australian. We sell Cycles Gladiator, and it is not often chosen over the Oz products. But with MK's comments in mind, we'll go out and try again! CG Merlot and other varietals do exceptionally well.

Thank you Matt Kramer, best regards, Toby Marion


Johnny Espinoza Esquivel — Wine World —  January 19, 2011 8:55pm ET

Matt:

You always come with such thoughts provoking topics. I really enjoy/love your columns, indeed. Here are my bets:

Australia: Beyond the so called "critter labels" there are really good wines. And I'm not talking here of Tahbilk, Henschke or Grange. Those are big name by their own and far beyond my price range. Now if you people take time to find out you can really find some beautiful joyful wines: Yalumba Signature, Wynns Coonawarra Cab, Jasper Hill Emily Paddock Shiraz-Ca Franc, etc. There is of course the issue of distribution and to me that has been the "Tombstone" for Oz wine. We simply can't compare Chile or Argentina wine distribution vs Oz. On that particular point, Oz missed the trail way back ago.

Bordeaux Paradox: Too much concentration on big names. On New Years day, I opened up a bottle of Chateau Puygueraud 2005. Simply amazing for its QPR (WS 92 points and $20-30 dollars). Try Chateau Robin Des Moines St Emilion, 2005, $20 dollars (if you can find it), Awesome and so. Again, bad news: There is not enough advertising/press for lesser names. Funny thing is those lesser represent a big % of the production. It's true many of those really don't pay attention to quality, this unfortunate but If Bdx people don't start to doing something really soon, that could be the black hole that will absorb them.

US Rhone style wines: Interesting, Napa Cab it's some deep inserted in America's palate, that just Pinot Noir can fight it. And don't misunderstand me: I love Cali Cab, but I'm afraid people is scared of new things, flavors, taste. The Paradox here is, Washington has probably the best terroir for Syrah after Rhone valley. This is to say, we don't need to find out for Rhone wines to taste/enjoy the majesty of Syrah or grenache. It is right here. I was really happy to know that Saxum Jim Barry wine was named 2010 No.1. It is a well deserved recognition to the effort of some Quijotes outthere (Manfred Krankl comes to mind) going against the establishment and history. It's true SQN are pricey and hard to find and probably Saxum will become pricey as well. But what they are really saying is: Hey! Look Up Here! Don't look anymore for Cult Cab! Try us and you'll see! And I'm not talking of names but varieties!


David Rapoport — CA —  January 19, 2011 9:20pm ET

1) Most australian wine that makes it to the US is terribly boring, generic, "it could be from anywhere plonk. I'm sure there's some wonderful stuff from OZ, but it's not making it here. It's for fans of juicy, low acid, hyper ripe wines. There is enough of that made in CA, so why not buy local
2)1855 and the British. I personally think there are some great values coming out of Bordeaux. Much of what I can find in the 20-35USD range, can be quite interesting, full of typicité, and age worthy. For the punters looking for status, only the upper ranks of the utterly absurd and anachronistic 1855 classification matters. For those who are fairly new to wine, Bordeaux strikes them as something that only the rich can afford with a shibboleth that only the British can decipher.
3) Stylistic confusion on the one hand you have these miserably overblown wines from producers like Saxum, JC Cellars etc. Big, black, sweet, thick low acid monstrosities that critics seem to like. On the other, you have producers like Copain, Wind Gap, Qupe, Peay, etc producing complex, racy, nervy wines that express the very best that CA has to offer, whilst rivaling the best of the northern Rhone for pure interest. To the consumer who hasn't figured out the producer landscape, they have no idea what syrah will deliver from CA


Pacific Rim Winemakers — Portland, OR —  January 20, 2011 12:35am ET

Matt,

Agreed with everyone - Australian is really in dire straights. It will take a decade for them to be hip again.

Bordeaux puzzles me. They have great history, great properties, potentially great wines. The Bordeaux varieties rule the world. May be they need to break free from old habits and reinvent themselves especially the lower tiers.

All for WA and CA syrah. This varietal is a collateral damage of the Oz story I think. Will be tough road for Syrah I think... Remember Chenin blanc....

Saw you last time at "little bird" downtown. Nice restaurant I thought. Was too shy to say hi.

Nicolas @ Pacific Rim


Vintrinsec — Montreal, Quebec, Canada —  January 20, 2011 12:27pm ET

Dear Matt,

Excellent questions! I've been in the wine business for over 12 years as an importer/agent, and I often asks myself these sort of questions as well.
Trends are often hard to understand, and it often seems to us "crazy" that consumers are ignoring certain types of wines that are actually great bargains...

1- Australian wines: Aussie wines are basically 1/3 of my company's portfolio. I represent great brands such as d'Arenberg, Tamar Ridge, Turkey Flat, and so on here in Quebec.
First thing I can say is that here, we haven't seen at all the drastic drop that happened in the US. Sure, many consumers are fed up with cheap Australian wines, especially as they probably drank way too many bottles of "standardized wines" over the past 5 years. But we are actually seeing an increase in sales of Aussie wines over 20$. Basically, consumers are discovering what "real Aussie wines" can be: exceptionally good wines, made by artisans, from very old vines, with great depth and balance, with a sense of terroir, and impossible to beat price wise.
Chile, Argentina (especially), South Africa, and California are giving headaches to Australian producers in the cheap wines segments, but I challenge anyone to find better value-for-money Syrah(shiraz), Grenache, and Rhône blends. So, if our market is any good indication of what the future looks like for Aussie wines, I can predict that US consumers will slowly but surely rediscover "real Australian wines" over the next decade (but, for sure, the Yellow-Tail Tsunami is over).

On the Constellation issue: just look at how they managed Western Wines in the UK after their purchased its parent company, Vincor.
Kumala, a brand that Western Wines created from scratch, was the #1 brand from South Africa in the UK, but Constellation just neglected it and it dropped really fast.
So, in my opinion, the problem is with management, not the portfolio. It is easy to purchase more and more brands from around the world, but to retain their "true identity" (what made them popular) is something far more difficult, and I do believe that big corporations can't get it right when it comes to keeping the spirit of a brand alive. Foster's did as bad, even though it has near-cult brands such as Penfold's. Constelleation had a great Aussie portfolio with the purchase of BRL Hardy, but, again, you had to invest time and efforts to manage all those brands, especially segmenting them so as consumers could see clearly what each of them represented (they all had very interesting history). What Constellation especially did wrong was to believe that you could market those brands as a whole like you'd do so with a Spirits portfolio.

2-Bordeaux: I need to disagree with people saying that outside the top producers, price quality is bad and wines are boring! It is actually the opposite: generic Bordeaux and little-known producers from little known regions (such as Fronsac) have never produce such good quality wines. 20 years ago, buying a bottle of Bordeaux Superieur was a very bad idea, as you were 99% sure to be disappointed. This situation changed a lot in the past 10 years, especially as a young generation of French wine makers started turning things around. But the problem remains that Bordeaux (and up to a certain extend most of the French AOC) cannot market itself properly. Off course, there are way too many producers, but the main culprit is that the French haven't adapted their marketing practices to what the rest of the (wine) world does. They still hide behind their AOC too often, with no understanding that there is a need to educate consumers as to what is a Bordeaux. They are still talking, after 20 years, on whether to put the grape varieties on the front label or not...! Part of the problem is also French (and EU) subsidies, that encourage laziness and self-pity...

3-Syrah: Again, funny thing, as here in Quebec, it has had a hell of a ride for the past 5 years, really challenging Pinot Noir !!!
But this amazing performance of Syrah wasn't fueled by Californian/Washington Syrah. I think that a lack of promotion is to blame, as well as a problem with availability.
Indeed, every time you see an excellent rating for a Californian or Washington Syrah(especially Washington), it is usually produced in very small quantities (under 1000 cases).
And I'm not talking about 100$ bottles, I'm talking about wines at 30$ ! This is a very sharp contrast to Australian Shiraz, that are produced at a level where you can actually served the market.
Even Penfold's Grange is produced at many thousands of cases... So there is a need to supply excellent Syrah at decent level, exactly like Oregon is doing with Pinot Noir these days. There are more and more brands that are focusing at quality pinots, which they produce at decent levels (AtoZ Pinot Noir is a good example). After all, when there is a "buzz" about a style of wine/varietal, you need to be able to fuel that buzz, otherwise it will slowly fade away. Napa Cabernet-Sauvignon were quite easy to find when it was all the craze...

One word on pinot noir to finish: I don't believe that the younger generation will keep drinking pinot like mad over the next decade. It is mostly baby-boomers that are doing so, and they'll drink less and less of it as they're getting older. From what I can see every day, the new generation of wine drinkers want a certain concentration of fruit, with a moderate acidity, a slightly sweet finish with little of no tannins. To this extent, I predict that Syrah and Syrah-based blends will have a great future. And as California and Washington have amazing terroirs Rhône varietals, the future looks bring (it will only take a bit of patience) !

Best regards from Montreal!

Francois Blouin




John Lahart — New York NY —  January 21, 2011 9:40am ET

This entire thread is a mass of unsupported speculation and faulty conventional wisdom fueled by anecdotal evidence.
Australia:
Again, where are the numbers to support the assertion that Australian wine is facing a steep decline in esteem among US consumers? More importantly where are any numbers to support a sales decline in any of the categories that would lead to the first conclusion? I suspect that after one makes adjustments for a bad economy, over production and some bad business decisions, Australian wine has lost little if any "esteem" among consumers here.
I also suspect a clue is in Matt's "listening to wine merchants"--more anecdotal evidence. There are a handful of merchants who have peddled this notion. If the number don't support their view then someone is having success with Aussie wines.
Bordeaux:
Here we go again! Has anyone considered the problem of over production? Too much wine. The operative word in Matt's piece is "everyday wines." There is intense competition in this segment in most every "open" market. Consumers can choose from a rapidly growing number of wines from a large roster of wine producing nations. Many countries face the problem of over production. I posit that Bordeaux is probably undergoing a thinning of the heard and will continue to be a strong global "brand."
Syrah:
Again, someone is buying up all the syrah based wines here. Those produced domestically and those from abroad. Here's another example of misreading the market and reliance on anecdotal information. Most consumers have no idea that red Burgundy is made from Pinot Noir and the White from Chardonnay that many Rhone wines are Syrah that Sancerre is Sauvignon blanc.
There are so many wines from so many grapes (let's not forget the thousands of blends) from so many countries in a wide range of styles, that consumers can't possibly process all this information. Much of the success of Australian wines was based on an understanding of this--thus the popularity of "branding" I would posit further that most consumers have no idea what's in their Yellowtail or Red Bicyclette or their Cote Du Rhone or Macon wine. How many buy Bordeaux because they like Cabernet Sauvignon and/or Merlot! They buy wine based on flavor profile. Because they tried the wine and like it and return to it.

Those who believe that pinot noir's popularity is due mostly to some movie are wallowing in over simplification. When the movie came out, the wine was already in ascendency. It is an easy drinking wine that works well with foods--all the movie did was help increase trial. We all know the adage: nothing can kill a bad product faster than good advertising. The movie was good advertising however, consumer marketing is driven by another notorious adage: "fool me once....."
So if Syrah is "tanking" where are the instances of vines being ripped out in favor of other crops or wine turned to alcohol or poured down the drain? Or even being unloaded by retailers at distressed prices?

Has anyone thought to peruse Wine Searcher? Or, better, has anyone actually looked at sales by category by price point? Do all these industry "experts" have a real grasp of the marketplace and an understanding of consumers and the wine purchase process?
I see no anecdotal evidence here?


William R Klapp Jr — Neive, Italy —  January 21, 2011 11:45am ET

Where is there a single shed of ANYTHING to support your diatribe, John? YOU do the research to support your views.


John Lahart — New York NY —  January 21, 2011 12:31pm ET

It is wine we are discussing here. All I have done is offer my thoughts and asked for some justification for many of the assertions made. Anyway Kudos to Mr Kramer who is always thought provoking! He did in fact, ask "would someone please explain to me...." I am just questioning some of the explanations offered!


Dave Joyce — Winston-Salem, NC —  January 21, 2011 7:48pm ET

Matt,
As a wine retailer that at one time in the not so distant past, had almost 35% of sales coming from Australia/New Zealand, and domestic Syrah, I have seen the decline in Aussie wines and domestic Syrah first hand.

As far as Aussie wines, my theory has to do with points per dollar. Farfetched, maybe, but here is my evidence. We were selling all the great Aussie wines we could get our hands on. Begging for higher allocation of wines with 93 to 96 point ratings from Rockford, Two Hands, Shirvingtons, Henry's Drive, Amon Ra, Glaetzner, etc.,etc. All of these in the $40 to $90 range.

Then came the introduction from Henry's Drive, and from winemaking genius Chris Ringland, of Pillar Box Red. The first two vintages, both selling for under $10, and both rated by Wine Advocate and others at 90 or 91 points. Along with the always impressive values of Marquis Philps wines, and new intros from Dan Philips at Grateful Palete, who seemed to sense this shift in the market and lined up Chris to do an impressive range of new wines all selling for under $25 and all getting 90+ scores, customer started seeing great wines with great scores under $25. Customers in our shop realized that under $20 with 90 to 93 points compared to $40 to $90 with 92 to 96 points, the price difference per point (and in the customer's mind, for difference in quality) was not worth it.

Now, as for domestic Syrah, I have not got a clue!! It just fell off the face of the planet in our store. Now the Aussie Shiraz under $25 is still flying off our shelves, but we cannot give away $9.99 to $19.99 great quality domestic Syrah. It just stopped, and we don't even have a movie we can blame it on like we could Merlot! Well Merlot is back, so I am sure domestic Syrah will cycle around again in a year or so. Now as to $40 to $90 Aussie wines, I think that cycle may not come back at all.


Merlin Guggenheim — Zurich, Switzerland —  January 22, 2011 11:20am ET

managed to get a hold of a case of clarendon hills Kangarilla Vineyard 2001 grenache, rated 95 in WS. It was appalling. Like drinking straberry syrup. And I don't mind drinking the occasional new world bomb. Gave one bottle to a friend of mine to be get his opinion and auctionned off the other 10 bottles. Still go through an 1985 st. Henry Shiraz, which is a wonderful wine showing what OZ can deliver if it wants to, but If I want new world, I turn to Chile more and more for Syrah and Cabs. Other than that I am becoming an Old World drinker more and more. Bargains can be found out of each appellation, Bordeaux and the Piemont included. Quality New world with character and individuality tends to come with a hefty price tag too.


Bernard Kruithof — San Antonio, Texas —  January 22, 2011 2:28pm ET

Purchase a bottle of Bordeaux lately? I and most Americans have had it with their wines when compared with most every other country in the world. With the vintage/weather variations in France they seem not able to give us what we consumers want. Everytime I drink some Bordeaux I always ask the same question.
WHERE IS THE FLAVOR???? and IF THIS IS IT (the flavor)-- CAN I HAVE MY MONEY BACK???


Daniel Posner — New York —  January 22, 2011 3:44pm ET

As a retailer, we have gone from selling 150 different Australian wines, to just about 35 labels. A more than 75% decrease.

That is not because sales have been booming.

I was able to buy 2006 Dead Arm Shiraz, on release, from the importer, in 2008. In 2011, the importer is still trying to sell 2006 Dead Arm, while 2007, 2008 and 2009 are not yet hear. The examples like this are numerous. Shall I list more for naysayers?

Anyone who does not believe the steep decline and disaster that is the Australian wine market in the United States appears to be drinking some 19% Kool Aid Shiraz, otherwise known as Molly Dooker or Noon Eclipse.


Vintrinsec — Montreal, Quebec, Canada —  January 23, 2011 10:10am ET

I'd like to reply quickly to Daniel Posner,

Daniel: As an importer, I am still able to buy older vintages of wines from ALL AROUND THE WORLD. So this is not just a problem with Australian wines!!! Some of my producers from New Zealand, South Africa, Oregon (yes, Oregon!) and especially from Spain are still selling me the same vintages they first offered me 2-3 years ago !!!

This has to do with an oversupply of good to very good quality wines at the same time. There was too many good vintages in a row where producers were able to get good crop and excellent fruit quality, and then bang! Came the global recession. So many producers are stuck with beautiful wines that they have to hold back because markets like the US dropped tremendously. So this is why you can still buy some Dead Arm 2006.

But you shouldn't use this situation to judge the quality of a wine. For instance, the Dead Arm 2006 was named the Best Shiraz of the year from Australia here in Quebec (by the most famous book writer!!!). And it is actually one of the best examples of a very well balanced wine that already drinks beautifully. It has nothing to do with australian cult wines like Molly Dooker and Noon...




Don Rauba — Schaumburg, IL —  January 23, 2011 11:12pm ET

How do we measure Australian esteem? I don't think that's what we ended up talking about, Matt, but my quarrel is not with your question... To other posters, what exactly is "cult" about Mollydooker? Hardly! d'Arenberg is "cult". Why would anyone pay even $5 for a smelly, austere, hostile bottle of d'Arenberg Dead Arm? No wonder it languishes in distribution.

But I offer no explanation either, just a personal opinion: The Aussie decline (if it exists) is fine with me, cuz it means I get my great Aussie bottles at lower prices. Two Hands Yesterday's Hero Grenache for $24.99. Boooyah!!! Whether or not it's because everyone thinks all Aussie wines taste like Yellowtail is immaterial, but to my mind, "totally" likely, based on the mind-numbing over-simplifications and assumptions I'm reading on this thread.

And one last note, to my fellow readers. Has it not occurred to you that when Matt expresses confusion over these topics, that he has (wisely) chosen to disassociate from the rampant speculation and uninformed and wildly illogical speculation of the ilk in this thread? Perhaps in doing so he is expressing that there is no clear explanation for these trends, which is the one answer I tend to agree with.

Salud.


Daniel Posner — New York —  January 24, 2011 2:35pm ET

Vintrinsec

I am not questioning whether the other regions are in a similar situation, as some wine regions are also in a pickle. Nevertheless, Australia appears to be in the "sourest" pickle at the moment. These are wines that used to sell out as quickly as they are offered. What sets it apart compared to other wine regions is that Australia, and now Spain, have gotten consistently high scores from critics, especially at the WA. The well appears to have run dry.

Have no fear, Spain is the next ship to sail. The trend started last year. People are no longer buying some of those super uber Spanish wines, like they once were.


James Kraskouskas — Gardner, MA USA —  January 26, 2011 9:39pm ET

The French don't make it easy for the wine stores. As an owner of a dedicated liquor store in Massachusetts, (we only sell beer wine and liquor) I can say our salesman have no clue what they are selling. There is no marketing plan for all these French wines, and how can anyone know them all? American and Australian wines are marketed well, the labels are easy to understand, you know what you are buying. When the French reps come in they talk a mile a minute, slowly my eyes glaze over and I slip off to the beach. The French have to find a way to advertise and promote in a manner which American drinkers will respond rather than just walk away form the French section as they have no clue what is on the shelf. We can't hand sell every bottle of wine in the store. the French could do very well with just a little bit of effort.


Joseph Kane — Austin —  January 27, 2011 3:34pm ET

2004 Dead Arm released at $60. Most recent vintage is selling in Dallas for $39. Grateful Palate's aussie affiliates, which produce wine for Marquis Philips, R Wines, Molly Dooker, Noon, Burge, etc. are in receivership upon defaulting on their notes to Rabobank, their financier.

When the biggest names in the Aussie wine market in the United States are suffering so badly that they fall into receivership, there is a problem.

That problem is mirrored by consumers' perception of Australian wines. Almost everyone in the message board suggested that the wines are glycerin laced high alcohol fruit bombs. How do you escape that perception if you are producing wines that don't fit that mold? I argue that it is tough to do so, which contributed to the aussie slump. As consumers leaned away from the Four Loko of the fine wine world, the market faltered. As alcohol levels increased, consumer interest decreased.

After all, there is only so much Port you can drink at one time.


Carlos Cherubin — Cleveland, Ohio, US —  January 29, 2011 10:07am ET

Matt,
the Australia problem is simply demand, supply, and escalating competition from NZ, AG, Chile, et cetera. Unrestrained production did not helps either. They need to rethink, restructure, and restart. They have the knowhow and environment to produce great stuff.
The Bordeaux problme is the few patricians are crushing the many plebeans. The perception is that unless you spend lots of money you do not get a good wine which is not so. The confusing miriad of producers run altogether and are hard to sort through. I would say the same for Burgundy and France in general. They make great wines but their marketing skills need help.
American Syrah's problem may be the breath of styles that is produced which confuses the public, as compared to cabs where the result is somewhat more predictable.
Great discussion.


Thomas Bartlett — Yardley, PA USA —  February 6, 2011 1:38am ET

My problem with Aussie wines is linked to my major frustration with wine reviews by Spectator and to a lesser degree by other reviewers. I agree that many US wine consumers are tired of the high alcohol fruit bombs that are like Smucker's jam in a glass. They were fun for the first few bottles but now it is like those overly hoppy beers that we love the first couple times and then never buy again.

Aussie wines in the lower and mid-priced range are often off-dry. I buy wines to have with food. I can never be sure if any Aussie wine - red or white - at the middle or bottom of the price range is going to be sweet or dry. They are hard to match with food.

My wife hates sweeter wines so I can't afford to spend $10 or $15 on a bottle and have her refuse to drink it. And Spectator refuses to CLEARLY identify if a wine is dry or off-dry or sweet unless it is a Riesling or Gewurtz. So for all these reasons I just do not want to buy Aussie wines.

PLEASE tell us if a wine you taste is dry, off-dry or sweet. The review is valueless if you do not point out such an important charateristic. The Yellow Tail 2008 Chard was almost Kabinett-level off-dry. My wife called it sweet. Your review told me it tasted good but not that it was sweet. Thanks to your review I wasted my $10 on a wine that we did not enjoy and did not finish.

I will eventually go elsewhere for wine reviews and news(after 15 years as a Spectator customer) if you continue to leave out this important information.

Tom


Thomas Bartlett — Yardley, PA USA —  February 6, 2011 10:44am ET

Let me add that the wine world needs a more understandable and precise method to identify the level of sugar in a wine. "Dry", "off-off-dry", Off-dry" "a bit sweet" etc. are vague. This needs to be standardized. I am not asking for grams per liter of residual sugar as most consumers will not know what that means in the mouth. But the reviewers should agree on a set of terms that are used only for specific levels of residual sugar. I do not like spending money on a bottle of Merlot or Chard that I am going to have with a specific meal and find it is off-dry and kills the wine/food combination. What is the point of a written review if I do not know what I am buying?

Tom


Barclay Burns — Chicago, IL —  February 14, 2011 12:03pm ET

Regarding Syrah's lack of popularity: Of many possible reasons, one that I keep coming back to is Syrah's tendency towards being reductive. Aerating/decanting (which most people don't do) can probably offer a greater improvement to the Syrah experience than it does to Pinot Noir. Also (and perhaps this is more of personal taste), I think Syrah is less enjoyable at the typical warmer room temprature that most people serve red wine. So right off the bat, I can see how someone might get a less favorable first impression of Syrah.


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